Geopolitics
The midterms are getting close. Why is Trump in Upstate New York?
Trump is betting that his presence can turn out conservative Republicans in the gubernatorial race. But even some in the MAGA base aren't confident about his o…
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ODDS
3 stories in the last 7 days, reading neutral overall. Quiet in the last 24 hours.
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- Stories, 7 days
- 3
- Last 24 hours
- 0below usual
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- 13in the latest 30
Mood and coverage · last 7 days
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| Day | Mood | Stories |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11 | — | 0 |
| Sat, Oct 10 | — | 0 |
| Fri, Oct 9 | — | 1 |
| Thu, Oct 8 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Wed, Oct 7 | — | 0 |
| Tue, Oct 6 | — | 0 |
| Mon, Oct 5 | — | 0 |
| Sun, Oct 4 | — | 0 |
Latest on ODDS
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THE ODDS AREN'T GOOD
Markets
2 Mid-Cap Stocks to Keep an Eye On and 1 We Question
Mid-cap stocks have the best odds of scaling into $100 billion corporations thanks to their tested business models and large addressable markets. But the man...
Where to watch Oregon State vs. CSU: Time, TV channel for Week 5 game
What channel is Oregon State football vs Colorado State game on? Here's how to watch, including time, TV schedule, live streaming info and game odds.
Macro
Soft Jobs Report Boosts Market Bets Fed Will Skip October Rate Increase
The odds of an interest rate change at the Federal Reserve's meeting in late October have dropped following a softer jobs report and strong signaling from bank…
Macro
Traders now see little chance of a Fed rate hike in October after weak jobs report
Odds tumbled after a jobs report showed a soft labor market, leading more traders to lower the the chances of a fed funds rate increase this month.
Macro
Bessent Settled Tax Issue That Had Put Him at Odds With I.R.S.
The Treasury Secretary had previously taken a position on his taxes that contradicted the views of the tax agency that he now oversees.
Macro
Fed Faces Prospect of Another Interest Rate Increase Just Before Midterm Elections
Financial markets are placing nearly 70 percent odds on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in late October.
Macro
Bitcoin falls below $84K as 10-year Treasury yield hits 19-year high
Bitcoin traded near $83,200 as Fed hike odds reached about 75% and Treasury prepared a $6 billion buyback of long-dated bonds.
Fox News Finds Itself at Odds With Trump on Press Ban
The home of Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham has joined rival networks in suspending its coverage of pooled presidential events.
Crypto
Bitcoin awaits Fed rate decision below $76K as analysis discounts 'dovish surprise' odds
Bitcoin price support materialized around $68,000 as markets saw a 93% chance of the Fed hiking rates by 0.25% on Wednesday.
AI
Agreeing to make AI safer may be impossible
It is technically feasible, but American labs and the American authorities are at odds, as are America and China
AI
Making AI safer is not impossible, but agreeing to do so may be
American labs and the American authorities are at odds, as are America and China
Macro
10-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2007, oil surges above $105 as Fed expected to hike interest rates
The US 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since 2007 on Tuesday, as oil prices jumped above $105 a barrel and stocks slumped on higher odds of an int…
Crypto
Bitcoin short-term holders hit 30-day profit streak as bull-market odds improve: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin short-term holders approached a full month in partial profit as analysis saw improving odds of an enduring bullish BTC price reversal.
Macro
Warsh Set for Showdown With Trump as Fed Faces Pressure to Raise Rates
The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates on Wednesday, putting Kevin M. Warsh, the chairman, at odds with the administration just before the mid…
Crypto
CLARITY Act odds fall to 16% as key Democrats resist GOP's 'final' offer
Banking groups also said the GOP's final text leaves stablecoin reward loopholes, while tribal gaming interests warn that its prediction market provisions thre…
Macro
U.S. Stocks Gain as Inflation Figure Boosts Odds of Rate Hike
U.S. stocks climbed, a signal that investors like the idea of a Federal Reserve rate hike tamping down inflation.
Macro
August consumer inflation cements Fed rate hike odds. What Wall Street is saying
The print was enough to raise chances of a quarter-point Fed rate increase next week to nearly 86% from 72% on Thursday, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
Consumer
LA restaurant apocalypse claims another beloved eatery: 'All odds are against us'
It was one of DTLA's buzziest dining rooms when it opened - and even wound up in the Michelin guide.
'The chancellor is in a bind': is No 11 at odds with Burnham's big vision?
MPs applaud PM's ambition and optimism but John Healey has yet to show he can match leader's radical perspective. Until now, Andy Burnham has been a lucky prim…
Macro
Jackson Hole analyst roundup: Warsh's speech sends hike chances higher, may put Fed `at odds' with Treasury
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish stance reinforced expectations of a relatively tighter stance at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in September.
Macro
September Fed decision is now a coin flip as rate hike odds increase post Warsh
Odds rose after Warsh's speech in Jackson Hole, Wyo., where he discussed that he still is frustrated with the overall inflation trend.
Geopolitics
Democrats at odds in Michigan over El-Sayed's ties to controversial streamer
Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed (D) has close political ties to political commentator Hasan Piker, who has been accused of antisemitism. Piker says his comments…
Consumer
Prediction market traders see roughly 1-in-4 odds Paramount's bid to buy Warner Bros. Discovery fails
The odds are higher than they were before 12 states sued to block the merger, but lower than after Paramount delayed the acquisition in late July.
Crypto
Data of 54,000 wallet users leaked, CLARITY odds just 10%: Hodler's Digest
Owners of Trezor and SafePal crypto wallets at high risk of phishing attempts after separate data leaks, CLARITY odds at 10% despite White House meeting this w…
Crypto
Galaxy lowers CLARITY Act odds to 10%
Galaxy cited unresolved ethics, stablecoin yield and developer protection issues, along with a narrow Senate window when lawmakers return in September.
Markets
'My husband and I are at odds': Should we tap our home equity or sell stocks to build a $100,000 emergency fund?
"We have about $1.7 million invested but only around $20,000 in cash."
Macro
Bitcoin eyes $63K as US CPI relief sends September Fed rate pause odds to 60%
Bitcoin price action did not reflect relief in US CPI inflation numbers matching expectations amid a warning over $63,000 failing as support.
Macro
Odds the Fed will hike in September tumble following big July jobs miss
A weaker labor market would weaken the case for raising rates, which some members of the central bank have called for amid higher energy prices.
