Santoli: Earnings bonanza that lifted market to record may not be all that it appears to be
The S&P 500 is up more than 6% in 12 trading days to record levels.


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The S&P 500 is up more than 6% in 12 trading days to record levels.

None of the significant issues the market has been grappling with have been settled exactly, but sometimes prices alone can drain the urgency from controversy.

It's as if the market heard the loud complaints last week that the rally was dangerously narrow and AI-dependent and is delivering a retort.

Apple and Microsoft each reaching $4 trillion in market cap on the same day is in a sense fitting - they're tech's two steadiest mega-compounders since 2015.

The two-day purge of speculative and high-momentum stocks either paused or finished.

High-momentum, more-volatile, heavily speculative stocks have broken steep uptrends and are spilling lower, as quality and value stocks hang in just fine.

The S&P 500 traded for a seventh day in the range left by the 2.7% drop on Oct. 10.

The sharp but shallow 3% pullback prompted a more severe "de-risking" impulse than one might've expected.

Investors ask whether a 2% dip from a record high has been enough to skim away some market froth and set the rally on firmer footing.

The latest move lower came after several failed rally attempts

The almost-trite mechanics of this bounce work against the idea that stocks are mostly twitching in tune with the tit-for-tat, U.S.-China trade threats.

Stocks closed lower Thursday as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq retreated from record highs as the federal government shutdown drags on.

While stocks tied to the AI buildout are booming, those closer to the here-and-now consumer remain sluggish.

At the headline-index level, Tuesday was a modest blip, with the S&P 500 down a little more than half a percent at the worst. Defensive groups outperformed.

The bull market nears its third anniversary with elevated valuations, broad agreement we have an AI bubble in the making and the Fed easing policy.

Mike Santoli's notes on a market that continues to largely ignore the government shutdown.

The latest catalysts were persistent momentum in core AI plays, retail-trader favorites and opportunistic rotation into a laggard sector.

Evidence of economic growth concerns is surfacing and the tape is a bit heavy, especially in consumer cyclicals, after a soft consumer confidence reading.

Megacap strength and constant rotation have continued to buoy broad measures of stock market performance.

With every excuse to retreat - technical overbought conditions, unfriendly seasonal patterns, higher Treasury yields - the S&P 500 only fell 0.3% this week.

The setup entering the week opened the way to some retrenchment: The S&P 500 at its most overbought in 14 months with momentum waning and breadth flagging.

Stocks took a hit as investors questioned the Nvidia-OpenAI partnership, wondering about overcapacity and overlapping partnerships and vendor relationships.

An Nvidia/OpenAI $100 billion investment in AI capacity sent related stocks flying and more than offset the fatigue evident in the broader market.

The majority of the market took a breather after bulls got most of what they were hoping for this week.

All indexes clicked to record highs, but the benchmark S&P 500 was off its highs and not far above Wednesday's peak.

To the dismay of the most dovish and bullish traders, Fed policymakers did not fully dismiss inflation concerns.

Some idiosyncratic flows of funds are goosing the mega-tech stocks, and the S&P 500 with them.

In-line pricing data was paired with what appeared to be another sign of labor-market softening.

Oracle and Nvidia accounted for all of the S&P 500's quarter-percent gain. Overall NYSE breadth was locked at 50/50 up/down.

Mike wraps up Monday's action, noting investors' continued preference for larger big-cap tech stocks.

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